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Thursday, January 2, 2014

2014 LCS Spring Split Preview

                The NorthAmerican LCS starts back up January 17th with a super week of games so it seems only fitting that we take a moment to preview what we’re in for. The teams certainly haven’t made things easy for us, some like Evil Geniuses and Dignitas have only made it to the stage during the Battle of the Atlantic(BotA)/Spring Promotion Tournament back in December since the LCS regular season ended. Complicating things even more are the rash of roster changes, only Cloud 9 and XDG have the same returning roster, and Evil Geniuses is an entirely new team of reasonably known players taking over for the defunct Velocity.

                First up is the Cloud 9 HyperX- train, the undisputed kings of the NA LCS during the Season 3 Summer Split. Cloud 9 won over hordes of fans, after seemingly coming from nowhere, by going a mind boggling 25-3 in the regular season, undefeated in the NA playoffs, and earing themselves the first place birth into the Season 3 World Championships. After their underwhelming 1-2 loss to Fnatic in their only match at Worlds, and a poor 0-2 loss to Gambit at IEM Cologne some began to question if Cloud 9 had been figured out. At Battle of the Atlantic Cloud 9 gave us the clear answer, in a stunning 2-0 sweep they took revenge against the Fnatic team and made it very clear that C9 would be just as fearsome as ever in the 2014 season.
Match to Watch: Jan 17th C9 vs TSM. Cloud 9 have been friends and rivals to Team Solo Mid since C9 first arrive in the LCS, in large part thanks to C9’s Manager/owner Jack Eteinne, and now their newly acquired Coach Dan Dinh, former participation in the TSM organization. This rivalry has a whole new face thanks to TSM’s new powerhouse mid laner Bjergsen, who has made the team appear even stronger than when they finished 2nd in the NA playoffs and took games off top teams from other regions during Worlds. TSM’s new strength will be the first real test of Cloud 9 since BotA; it could set the stage for another epic win streak or tell the tale of a far more competitive NA LCS.

                TeamSolo Mid has long been a powerhouse team in NA, and despite being dethroned by Cloud 9 they’ve remained a serious threat and fan favorites. After a somewhat rocky Summer split TSM finished 2nd in the Playoffs, took a game off Lemondogs during the Worlds group stage, and even forced a surprisingly close game against SKT T1, the Season 3 World Champions, during groups at Worlds. All of that was before the Acquisition of the star mid laner Bjergsen who’d made a name for himself in the European LCS as part of Ninjas in Pyjamas.  Since Bjergsen joined the whole of TSM has talked about how much of an improvement he’s made, and the team swept Lemondogs new lineup 2-0 during BotA.
Match to Watch: Jan 17th C9 vs TSM, as mentioned earlier these two teams have been friends and rivals since Cloud 9 joined the LCS. This match will show if the new TSM has what it takes to rival Cloud 9, or if they will again sit in second place.

                XDG is the team formerly known as Vulcun, and the only team apart from Cloud 9 to retain the same roster they had during the Summer split of NA LCS. XDG is a bit of a wild card team, and has always been hard to read. In the Spring split of season 3 they narrowly avoided relegation with a last minute pickup of support Bloodwater. In the Summer split XDG finished a firm 2nd in the regular season, including being the only team apart from CLG to take a game off of Cloud 9, but an underwhelming display during playoffs left them third place. During the group stages at Worlds and BotA XDG showed they still retained the problems closing out games they’ve had since the LCS started; a problem that has earned them the nickname “throwbargains” (a play on their name sponsor techbargains) among LCS fans on Reddit and twitter. The late game problems that still plague XDG make them a difficult to predict team, they could perform well this coming split or they could falter under the longer game times that have seemed prevalent in the new season.
Match to Watch: Jan 17th XDG vs C9, XDG was one of only two teams to take a game against Cloud 9 in the Summer split. The star players and volatile record of XDG makes every one of their games hard to predict, but the fact they’ve actually beaten Cloud 9 means this match will be especially telling as to XDG’s ability to replicate past success.

                Where XDG is unpredictable, Counter Logic Gaming is anything but. Despite a roster of incredibly talented players, and a reputation as Kingslayers for their track record against top performing teams, CLG has routinely faltered at public events and against teams who’re clearly performing worse than themselves. During the Summer split CLG was the only team to take two games off Cloud 9 and beat TSM in all four of their regular season matches, they were also the only team to give up two games against the 5-23 Velocity. After losing to TSM in the playoffs and failing to make Worlds CLG picked up a new jungler and brought back former support Aphromoo. At IEM Cologne the team had an incredibly close series against Fnatic but ultimately lost despite one of the best performances of mid laner Link’s career. Another jungler change would bring former Lemondogs member Dexter over from Europe. Dexter made his best attempt to carry the games during BotA but the rest of CLG would fall into bad habits and CLG ended up losing 0-2 against Alternate. Some CLG fans like myself still cling to the hope that Montecristo’s in house training with CLG will turn things around, but for now the safe bet is to predict CLG to do well against top teams and underperform against lower rated teams.
Match to Watch: Jan 17th CLG vs DIG, This really is the biggest match to watch for CLG fans and anyone trying to get a read on how effective Montecristo’s coaching has been. Dignitas has been notably underperforming. If CLG can’t win this game and DIG don’t go on a C9-esque winning spree it will be pretty clear that nothing has changed in the CLG house.

                Dignitas finished season 3 in 5th place after a very rough Summer split. The team had been on a very clear down turn ever since the end of the Spring split of Season 3 LCS and things have simply not gotten better. In the off season DIG moved top laner Kiwikid to support and picked up Cruzer as their new top laner in hopes of promoting more team synergy and turning things around for the team. Their 0-2 display against Alliance at BotA leaves much to be desired.
Match to Watch: Jan 18th CST vs DIG, Dignitas faces an unfortunately tough opening week for the LCS with matches against top teams. Their best hope for success outside of CLG’s typical faltering will be the game against Coast. Coast was forced to fight for relegation and was the only team in NA to go all 5 games against a Challenger team. If Dignitas has made progress on their problems since BotA this game against Coast will be the best chance to show they’re back on track.

                Curse is the first on our list of the teams fighting for relegation after their sixth place finish at summer playoffs. The team went through a massive overhaul in preparation for relegation that eventually settled on only Voyboy and Cop remaining from their Summer split roster, and only Cop retaining his position as Voyboy was switched to mid to make way for new comer Quas. The team performed well in the relegation matches defeating COGnitive 3-1. New comers Quas and Zekent showed exactly why they deserved to be on an LCS team, and Cop has continued to buck the formerly widely held notion of him as the “worst” Marksman in NA by out picking and outperforming the competition.
Match to Watch: Jan 17th CRS vs CST, The Curse lineup’s main weakness is Voyboy, between the promotion tournament and his own soloqueue stream it’s clear that Voyboy is still adjusting to his new role in mid lane. Going up against a star mid laner like Coast’s Shiphtur will be a real test for Voyboy and Curse will struggle if he can’t manage to hold his own in lane.

                Coast has always been an inconsistent team, barely avoiding relegation in the inaugural split of the LCS, then landing in seventh place in Summer split only ahead of the abysmal Velocity. They hoped to fix their problems by replacing former Marksman DontMashMe, who had the lowest KDA in the summer split, with the relatively unknown Wizfujion. Despite requalifying for the LCS the intensely close 3-2 series against The Walking Zed makes it difficult to tell just how improved Coast really is.
Match to Watch: Jan 19th XDG vs CST, the match against XDG is probably the toughest matchup for Coast in week 1, and it could go a long way to seeing what Coast has learned during their time in the North American Challenger League during the LCS break. If they can convincingly defeat XDG there’s a good chance Coast will be a highly competitive team in the Spring split.

                EvilGeniuses is probably the hardest team to predict on this list. Their spot was held by Velocity during the Summer split but that entire roster was dissolved. In its place the new Evil Geniuses was formed, their name sponsor EG had previously held a team in the European LCS with three members of this roster, Snoopeh, Yellowpete, and Krepo. The team rounded out the roster with the somewhat known Challenger player Pobelter in mid and new comer Innox in the top lane. The roster performed well in the promotion tournament, successfully holding the LCS spot against DTG, but it’s impossible to tell how the roster will match up against the top teams in NA until we see them play.
Match to Watch: Jan 17th EG vs XDG, the very first match of the Spring split will tell us a lot about how competitive EG will be in the NA LCS. If EG can convincingly beat XDG it will likely herald the NA LCS being an all-out brawl between all the teams. If however EG is unable to perform against XDG it will be difficult for EG to break into the top 4 NA teams.


                On paper the Spring split of the NA LCS 2014 season looks more competitive than either split was last season. Thankfully we don’t have long to wait to see for ourselves as the action kicks off at noon Pacific Time January 17th from Riot’s new studio.

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