Coming up on the halfway point in the LCS split and it's given us some good patterns to look at for trying to predict who will or wont come out huge this week. Unfortunately the nature of the beast means that sometimes unpredictable things happen, like SHC falling apart in their easy week. Even events that couldn't be predicted before they happened though can still be useful. While it is too early to call the SHC train derailed it's made it clear that they should still be assessed as potential risks for this list.
In the interest of readability I've added player names to the front and underlined them in case you don't care to read the explanation as to why they're rated how they are.
Low Risk:
Altec: Since his debut in the LCS the EG adc has shown an impressive ability to generate fantasy points in any conditions. In week 1 losing to top rated Dignitas he scored over 20 points, a score usually seen from victory. Last week Altec scored 28 points despite going 0-2 which was better than about half the ADCs available in fantasy LCS including usually strong performers like Sneaky, Tabzz, and Imaqtpie. This week EG faces CompLexity and TSM, they have a strong chance of going 1-1 and even a reasonable chance at a 2-0 with the help of their new jungler Helios. EG is a good bet and that makes Altec an excellent bet.
Medium Risk:
Kerp: It's no secret Kerp has a tendency to generate ridiculous points when winning. This week Millenium faces ROCCAT and Fnatic which means there's a reasonable chance for at least 1 MIL win. Kerp is inconsistent which makes him a bit dangerous, but MIL typically wins off the back of Kerp and means that betting on him in a potentially winning week can payoff big.
Creaton: Much like his teammate Kerp, Creaton has been known to put up incredible numbers when he does well. With Milennium looking at a 1-1 week Creaton is not a bad bet to score a few extra points from your flex or ADC positions.
Helios: EG is looking at a good week this week and any wins they pick up will depend a lot on the pressure applied by their new jungler Helios. He already showed his skill last week generating early leads for EG proving he's not a bad bet when EG wins.
High Risk:
Overpow: ROCCAT showed signs of life taking down SHC last week. This week they face the two weakest teams in the EU LCS Gambit and MIL. If ROC is going to have an upswing this is the most likely week for it and it will largely swing on Overpow's ability to carry. He's a dangerous chance to take but if ROC is back that shot will payoff huge.
Diamond: Gambit has struggled to return to their former glory after the loss of mid laner Alex Ich, but Diamond is clearly still a large part of what carries Gambit victories. If ROCCAT's unable to repeat last week's performance it will be Diamond and Gambit who reap the rewards.
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